Season 4 - Adelaide Hills League Logo
Game Details For Lucy Moore
Playdate: 01-04-2026
GAME #1
John Radcliffe David Morton
9
----------- vs -----------
7
Chris Carapetis Lucy Moore
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.946 3.129
Win probability
16.24%
83.76% of 0.100 = 0.084 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.084 +0.002 +0.086
Losers -0.084 +0.007 -0.077
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
John Radcliffe 2.988 +0.086 3.074
David Morton 2.904 +0.086 2.990
Chris Carapetis 3.076 -0.077 2.999
Lucy Moore 3.181 -0.077 3.104

GAME #2
Lucy Moore Daniel Hodgson
9
----------- vs -----------
2
Helen Evans Belinda Wade
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.099 2.834
Win probability
91.54%
8.46% of 0.100 = 0.008 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.008 +0.007 +0.015
Losers -0.008 +0.002 -0.006
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Lucy Moore 3.104 +0.015 3.119
Daniel Hodgson 3.094 +0.015 3.109
Helen Evans 2.625 -0.006 2.619
Belinda Wade 3.043 -0.006 3.037

GAME #3
Lucy Moore Chris Anderson
9
----------- vs -----------
7
John Radcliffe Belinda Wade
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.114 3.088
Win probability
55.82%
44.18% of 0.100 = 0.044 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.044 +0.002 +0.046
Losers -0.044 +0.007 -0.037
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Lucy Moore 3.119 +0.046 3.165
Chris Anderson 3.108 +0.046 3.154
John Radcliffe 3.138 -0.037 3.101
Belinda Wade 3.037 -0.037 3.000

GAME #4
Chris Carapetis Chris Anderson
9
----------- vs -----------
5
Lucy Moore Helen Evans
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.043 2.931
Win probability
73.23%
26.77% of 0.100 = 0.027 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.027 +0.004 +0.031
Losers -0.027 +0.005 -0.022
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Chris Carapetis 2.931 +0.031 2.962
Chris Anderson 3.154 +0.031 3.185
Lucy Moore 3.165 -0.022 3.143
Helen Evans 2.696 -0.022 2.674

GAME #5
Daniel Hodgson Chris Anderson
9
----------- vs -----------
1
Lucy Moore David Morton
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.168 2.988
Win probability
83.51%
16.49% of 0.100 = 0.016 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.016 +0.008 +0.024
Losers -0.016 +0.001 -0.015
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Daniel Hodgson 3.151 +0.024 3.175
Chris Anderson 3.185 +0.024 3.209
Lucy Moore 3.143 -0.015 3.128
David Morton 2.832 -0.015 2.817

GAME #6
Lucy Moore Lyn Davis
9
----------- vs -----------
4
Helen Evans David Morton
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.105 2.794
Win probability
94.24%
5.76% of 0.100 = 0.006 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.006 +0.005 +0.011
Losers -0.006 +0.004 -0.002
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Lucy Moore 3.128 +0.011 3.139
Lyn Davis 3.082 +0.011 3.093
Helen Evans 2.771 -0.002 2.769
David Morton 2.817 -0.002 2.815

GAME #7
Lucy Moore Belinda Wade
9
----------- vs -----------
1
Lyn Davis Chris Carapetis
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.112 3.060
Win probability
61.48%
38.52% of 0.100 = 0.039 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.039 +0.008 +0.047
Losers -0.039 +0.001 -0.038
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Lucy Moore 3.139 +0.047 3.186
Belinda Wade 3.085 +0.047 3.132
Lyn Davis 3.093 -0.038 3.055
Chris Carapetis 3.027 -0.038 2.989

GAME #8
Daniel Hodgson Lyn Davis
9
----------- vs -----------
4
Lucy Moore John Radcliffe
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.153 3.101
Win probability
61.48%
38.52% of 0.100 = 0.039 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.039 +0.005 +0.044
Losers -0.039 +0.004 -0.035
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Daniel Hodgson 3.251 +0.044 3.295
Lyn Davis 3.055 +0.044 3.099
Lucy Moore 3.186 -0.035 3.151
John Radcliffe 3.016 -0.035 2.981

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