Season 3 - Adelaide Hills League Logo
Game Details For Michelle Morgan
Playdate: 27-11-2025
GAME #1
Bridget Kinghan Alan Solomon
11
----------- vs -----------
7
Michelle Morgan Lachlan Major
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.770 2.777
Win probability
48.32%
51.68% of 0.100 = 0.052 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.052 +0.004 +0.056
Losers -0.052 +0.007 -0.045
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Bridget Kinghan 2.817 +0.056 2.873
Alan Solomon 2.722 +0.056 2.778
Michelle Morgan 2.804 -0.045 2.759
Lachlan Major 2.750 -0.045 2.705
GAME #2
Gemma Elliott Michelle Morgan
11
----------- vs -----------
4
Alan Solomon Helen Evans
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.800 2.857
Win probability
37.47%
62.53% of 0.100 = 0.063 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.063 +0.007 +0.070
Losers -0.063 +0.004 -0.059
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Gemma Elliott 2.840 +0.070 2.910
Michelle Morgan 2.759 +0.070 2.829
Alan Solomon 2.778 -0.059 2.719
Helen Evans 2.935 -0.059 2.876
GAME #3
Jacob Matthews Silas Morgan
11
----------- vs -----------
5
Michelle Morgan Alan Solomon
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.007 2.774
Win probability
88.99%
11.01% of 0.100 = 0.011 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.011 +0.006 +0.017
Losers -0.011 +0.005 -0.006
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Jacob Matthews 3.066 +0.017 3.083
Silas Morgan 2.947 +0.017 2.964
Michelle Morgan 2.829 -0.006 2.823
Alan Solomon 2.719 -0.006 2.713
GAME #4
Gemma Elliott Jacob Matthews
11
----------- vs -----------
0
Bridget Kinghan Michelle Morgan
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.965 2.806
Win probability
80.74%
19.26% of 0.100 = 0.019 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.019 +0.011 +0.030
Losers -0.019 +0.000 -0.019
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Gemma Elliott 2.847 +0.030 2.877
Jacob Matthews 3.083 +0.030 3.113
Bridget Kinghan 2.788 -0.019 2.769
Michelle Morgan 2.823 -0.019 2.804
GAME #5
Lachlan Major Silas Morgan
11
----------- vs -----------
4
Michelle Morgan Helen Evans
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.866 2.877
Win probability
47.53%
52.47% of 0.100 = 0.052 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.052 +0.007 +0.059
Losers -0.052 +0.004 -0.048
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Lachlan Major 2.724 +0.059 2.783
Silas Morgan 3.008 +0.059 3.067
Michelle Morgan 2.804 -0.048 2.756
Helen Evans 2.950 -0.048 2.902
GAME #6
John Radcliffe Bridget Kinghan
11
----------- vs -----------
4
Silas Morgan Michelle Morgan
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.834 2.931
Win probability
29.49%
70.51% of 0.100 = 0.071 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.071 +0.007 +0.078
Losers -0.071 +0.004 -0.067
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
John Radcliffe 2.954 +0.078 3.032
Bridget Kinghan 2.713 +0.078 2.791
Silas Morgan 3.105 -0.067 3.038
Michelle Morgan 2.756 -0.067 2.689
GAME #7
Jacob Matthews Michelle Morgan
11
----------- vs -----------
5
Helen Evans John Radcliffe
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.869 2.950
Win probability
32.47%
67.53% of 0.100 = 0.068 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.068 +0.006 +0.074
Losers -0.068 +0.005 -0.063
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Jacob Matthews 3.048 +0.074 3.122
Michelle Morgan 2.689 +0.074 2.763
Helen Evans 2.868 -0.063 2.805
John Radcliffe 3.032 -0.063 2.969
GAME #8
Gemma Elliott Lachlan Major
11
----------- vs -----------
10
John Radcliffe Michelle Morgan
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.851 2.866
Win probability
46.52%
53.48% of 0.100 = 0.053 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.053 +0.001 +0.054
Losers -0.053 +0.010 -0.043
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Gemma Elliott 2.956 +0.054 3.010
Lachlan Major 2.745 +0.054 2.799
John Radcliffe 2.969 -0.043 2.926
Michelle Morgan 2.763 -0.043 2.720
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