Season 3 - Adelaide Hills League Logo
Game Details For Michelle Morgan
Playdate: 11-12-2025
GAME #1
Jacob Matthews Silas Morgan
11
----------- vs -----------
4
Michelle Morgan David Morton
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.004 2.890
Win probability
73.67%
26.33% of 0.100 = 0.026 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.026 +0.007 +0.033
Losers -0.026 +0.004 -0.022
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Jacob Matthews 3.005 +0.033 3.038
Silas Morgan 3.003 +0.033 3.036
Michelle Morgan 2.838 -0.022 2.816
David Morton 2.941 -0.022 2.919
GAME #2
David Morton Dana Florea
11
----------- vs -----------
6
Michelle Morgan Alan Solomon
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.722 2.863
Win probability
21.97%
78.03% of 0.100 = 0.078 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.078 +0.005 +0.083
Losers -0.078 +0.006 -0.072
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
David Morton 2.919 +0.083 3.002
Dana Florea 2.524 +0.083 2.607
Michelle Morgan 2.816 -0.072 2.744
Alan Solomon 2.909 -0.072 2.837
GAME #3
David Morton Bridget Kinghan
11
----------- vs -----------
7
Vic Florea Michelle Morgan
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.849 2.817
Win probability
57.14%
42.86% of 0.100 = 0.043 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.043 +0.004 +0.047
Losers -0.043 +0.007 -0.036
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
David Morton 3.002 +0.047 3.049
Bridget Kinghan 2.695 +0.047 2.742
Vic Florea 2.889 -0.036 2.853
Michelle Morgan 2.744 -0.036 2.708
GAME #4
Vic Florea Alan Solomon
11
----------- vs -----------
10
Wayne Morgan Michelle Morgan
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.844 2.901
Win probability
37.36%
62.64% of 0.100 = 0.063 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.063 +0.001 +0.064
Losers -0.063 +0.010 -0.053
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Vic Florea 2.853 +0.064 2.917
Alan Solomon 2.834 +0.064 2.898
Wayne Morgan 3.094 -0.053 3.041
Michelle Morgan 2.708 -0.053 2.655
GAME #5
Michelle Morgan Silas Morgan
11
----------- vs -----------
8
Dana Florea Wayne Morgan
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.874 2.809
Win probability
64.20%
35.8% of 0.100 = 0.036 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.036 +0.003 +0.039
Losers -0.036 +0.008 -0.028
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Michelle Morgan 2.655 +0.039 2.694
Silas Morgan 3.092 +0.039 3.131
Dana Florea 2.576 -0.028 2.548
Wayne Morgan 3.041 -0.028 3.013
GAME #6
Bridget Kinghan Wayne Morgan
11
----------- vs -----------
9
Michelle Morgan Jacob Matthews
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.884 2.846
Win probability
58.46%
41.54% of 0.100 = 0.042 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.042 +0.002 +0.044
Losers -0.042 +0.009 -0.033
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Bridget Kinghan 2.754 +0.044 2.798
Wayne Morgan 3.013 +0.044 3.057
Michelle Morgan 2.694 -0.033 2.661
Jacob Matthews 2.997 -0.033 2.964
GAME #7
Jacob Matthews Vic Florea
11
----------- vs -----------
9
Michelle Morgan Dana Florea
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.960 2.599
Win probability
96.23%
3.77% of 0.100 = 0.004 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.004 +0.002 +0.006
Losers -0.004 +0.009 +0.005
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Jacob Matthews 2.939 +0.006 2.945
Vic Florea 2.980 +0.006 2.986
Michelle Morgan 2.661 +0.005 2.666
Dana Florea 2.537 +0.005 2.542
GAME #8
Silas Morgan Alan Solomon
11
----------- vs -----------
10
Bridget Kinghan Michelle Morgan
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.037 2.735
Win probability
93.79%
6.21% of 0.100 = 0.006 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.006 +0.001 +0.007
Losers -0.006 +0.010 +0.004
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Silas Morgan 3.180 +0.007 3.187
Alan Solomon 2.893 +0.007 2.900
Bridget Kinghan 2.803 +0.004 2.807
Michelle Morgan 2.666 +0.004 2.670
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