Season 3 - Adelaide Hills League Logo
Game Details For Lucy Moore
Playdate: 23-10-2025
GAME #1
Simon Blows Wayne Morgan
11
----------- vs -----------
6
Lucy Moore Daryle Schimleck
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.101 2.994
Win probability
72.43%
27.57% of 0.100 = 0.028 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.028 +0.005 +0.033
Losers -0.028 +0.006 -0.022
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Simon Blows 3.143 +0.033 3.176
Wayne Morgan 3.059 +0.033 3.092
Lucy Moore 2.962 -0.022 2.940
Daryle Schimleck 3.025 -0.022 3.003
GAME #2
Simon Blows Lucy Moore
11
----------- vs -----------
6
Gemma Elliott Shane Virgo
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.058 3.052
Win probability
51.46%
48.54% of 0.100 = 0.049 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.049 +0.005 +0.054
Losers -0.049 +0.006 -0.043
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Simon Blows 3.176 +0.054 3.230
Lucy Moore 2.940 +0.054 2.994
Gemma Elliott 2.886 -0.043 2.843
Shane Virgo 3.217 -0.043 3.174
GAME #3
Lyn Davis Daryle Schimleck
11
----------- vs -----------
10
Shane Virgo Lucy Moore
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.051 3.101
Win probability
38.95%
61.05% of 0.100 = 0.061 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.061 +0.001 +0.062
Losers -0.061 +0.010 -0.051
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Lyn Davis 2.998 +0.062 3.060
Daryle Schimleck 3.103 +0.062 3.165
Shane Virgo 3.207 -0.051 3.156
Lucy Moore 2.994 -0.051 2.943
GAME #4
Simon Blows Alison Othen
11
----------- vs -----------
5
Lyn Davis Lucy Moore
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.177 3.002
Win probability
82.82%
17.18% of 0.100 = 0.017 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.017 +0.006 +0.023
Losers -0.017 +0.005 -0.012
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Simon Blows 3.303 +0.023 3.326
Alison Othen 3.050 +0.023 3.073
Lyn Davis 3.060 -0.012 3.048
Lucy Moore 2.943 -0.012 2.931
GAME #5
Wayne Morgan Shane Virgo
11
----------- vs -----------
9
Lucy Moore Alison Othen
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.116 3.002
Win probability
73.50%
26.5% of 0.100 = 0.027 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.027 +0.002 +0.029
Losers -0.027 +0.009 -0.018
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Wayne Morgan 3.075 +0.029 3.104
Shane Virgo 3.156 +0.029 3.185
Lucy Moore 2.931 -0.018 2.914
Alison Othen 3.073 -0.018 3.056
GAME #6
Gemma Elliott Lyn Davis
11
----------- vs -----------
8
Lucy Moore Wayne Morgan
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.977 3.009
Win probability
42.75%
57.25% of 0.100 = 0.057 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.057 +0.003 +0.060
Losers -0.057 +0.008 -0.049
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Gemma Elliott 2.875 +0.060 2.935
Lyn Davis 3.078 +0.060 3.138
Lucy Moore 2.914 -0.049 2.865
Wayne Morgan 3.104 -0.049 3.055
GAME #7
Daryle Schimleck Alison Othen
11
----------- vs -----------
7
Lucy Moore Gemma Elliott
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.107 2.900
Win probability
86.48%
13.52% of 0.100 = 0.014 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.014 +0.004 +0.018
Losers -0.014 +0.007 -0.007
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Daryle Schimleck 3.074 +0.018 3.092
Alison Othen 3.139 +0.018 3.157
Lucy Moore 2.865 -0.007 2.858
Gemma Elliott 2.935 -0.007 2.928
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