Season 3 - Adelaide Hills League Logo
Game Details For Aaron Gilligan
Playdate: 16-10-2025
GAME #1
Gemma Elliott Neil Sandercock
9
----------- vs -----------
6
Aaron Gilligan Geoff Dyer
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.942 2.884
Win probability
62.64%
37.36% of 0.100 = 0.037 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.037 +0.003 +0.040
Losers -0.037 +0.006 -0.031
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Gemma Elliott 3.000 +0.040 3.040
Neil Sandercock 2.883 +0.040 2.923
Aaron Gilligan 3.000 -0.031 2.969
Geoff Dyer 2.768 -0.031 2.737
GAME #2
Shane Virgo Stewart Lindsay
9
----------- vs -----------
5
Aaron Gilligan Neil Sandercock
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.214 2.946
Win probability
91.71%
8.29% of 0.100 = 0.008 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.008 +0.004 +0.012
Losers -0.008 +0.005 -0.003
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Shane Virgo 3.122 +0.012 3.134
Stewart Lindsay 3.305 +0.012 3.317
Aaron Gilligan 2.969 -0.003 2.966
Neil Sandercock 2.923 -0.003 2.920
GAME #3
Alison Othen Neil Sandercock
9
----------- vs -----------
8
Wayne Morgan Aaron Gilligan
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.973 2.983
Win probability
47.75%
52.25% of 0.100 = 0.052 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.052 +0.001 +0.053
Losers -0.052 +0.008 -0.044
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Alison Othen 3.026 +0.053 3.079
Neil Sandercock 2.920 +0.053 2.973
Wayne Morgan 3.000 -0.044 2.956
Aaron Gilligan 2.966 -0.044 2.922
GAME #4
Wayne Morgan Stewart Lindsay
9
----------- vs -----------
3
Gemma Elliott Aaron Gilligan
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.142 2.995
Win probability
79.01%
20.99% of 0.100 = 0.021 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.021 +0.006 +0.027
Losers -0.021 +0.003 -0.018
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Wayne Morgan 2.956 +0.027 2.983
Stewart Lindsay 3.328 +0.027 3.355
Gemma Elliott 3.067 -0.018 3.049
Aaron Gilligan 2.922 -0.018 2.904
GAME #5
Alison Othen Aaron Gilligan
9
----------- vs -----------
3
Geoff Dyer Shane Virgo
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.978 2.934
Win probability
59.76%
40.24% of 0.100 = 0.040 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.040 +0.006 +0.046
Losers -0.040 +0.003 -0.037
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Alison Othen 3.051 +0.046 3.097
Aaron Gilligan 2.904 +0.046 2.950
Geoff Dyer 2.647 -0.037 2.610
Shane Virgo 3.220 -0.037 3.183
GAME #6
Gemma Elliott David Box
9
----------- vs -----------
7
Aaron Gilligan Shane Virgo
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.134 3.067
Win probability
64.72%
35.28% of 0.100 = 0.035 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.035 +0.002 +0.037
Losers -0.035 +0.007 -0.028
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Gemma Elliott 3.021 +0.037 3.058
David Box 3.247 +0.037 3.284
Aaron Gilligan 2.950 -0.028 2.922
Shane Virgo 3.183 -0.028 3.155
GAME #7
David Box Aaron Gilligan
9
----------- vs -----------
1
Geoff Dyer Wayne Morgan
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.103 2.799
Win probability
93.89%
6.11% of 0.100 = 0.006 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.006 +0.008 +0.014
Losers -0.006 +0.001 -0.005
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
David Box 3.284 +0.014 3.298
Aaron Gilligan 2.922 +0.014 2.936
Geoff Dyer 2.608 -0.005 2.603
Wayne Morgan 2.990 -0.005 2.985
GAME #8
David Box Alison Othen
9
----------- vs -----------
5
Stewart Lindsay Aaron Gilligan
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.240 3.125
Win probability
73.76%
26.24% of 0.100 = 0.026 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.026 +0.004 +0.030
Losers -0.026 +0.005 -0.021
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
David Box 3.298 +0.030 3.328
Alison Othen 3.181 +0.030 3.211
Stewart Lindsay 3.313 -0.021 3.292
Aaron Gilligan 2.936 -0.021 2.915
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