Season 2 - Adelaide Hills League Logo
Game Details For Lucy Moore
Playdate: 27-08-2025
GAME #1
Shane Virgo Lucy Moore
9
----------- vs -----------
4
Alexander Hanysz Neil Sandercock
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.946 2.821
Win probability
75.46%
24.54% of 0.100 = 0.025 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.025 +0.005 +0.030
Losers -0.025 +0.004 -0.021
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Shane Virgo 2.948 +0.030 2.978
Lucy Moore 2.943 +0.030 2.973
Alexander Hanysz 2.755 -0.021 2.734
Neil Sandercock 2.886 -0.021 2.865
GAME #2
Lucy Moore Aaron Gilligan
9
----------- vs -----------
5
Geoff Dyer Andre B
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.737 2.667
Win probability
65.13%
34.87% of 0.100 = 0.035 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.035 +0.004 +0.039
Losers -0.035 +0.005 -0.030
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Lucy Moore 2.973 +0.039 3.012
Aaron Gilligan 2.500 +0.039 2.539
Geoff Dyer 2.563 -0.030 2.533
Andre B 2.771 -0.030 2.741
GAME #3
Shane Virgo Shelly Feutrill
9
----------- vs -----------
4
Geoff Dyer Lucy Moore
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.607 2.754
Win probability
21.14%
78.86% of 0.100 = 0.079 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.079 +0.005 +0.084
Losers -0.079 +0.004 -0.075
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Shane Virgo 2.993 +0.084 3.077
Shelly Feutrill 2.221 +0.084 2.305
Geoff Dyer 2.495 -0.075 2.420
Lucy Moore 3.012 -0.075 2.937
GAME #4
Alexander Hanysz Lucy Moore
9
----------- vs -----------
3
Shelly Feutrill Aaron Gilligan
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.905 2.467
Win probability
98.09%
1.91% of 0.100 = 0.002 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.002 +0.006 +0.008
Losers -0.002 +0.003 +0.001
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Alexander Hanysz 2.873 +0.008 2.881
Lucy Moore 2.937 +0.008 2.945
Shelly Feutrill 2.305 +0.001 2.306
Aaron Gilligan 2.629 +0.001 2.630
GAME #5
Neil Sandercock Andre B
9
----------- vs -----------
3
Shelly Feutrill Lucy Moore
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.793 2.626
Win probability
81.84%
18.16% of 0.100 = 0.018 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.018 +0.006 +0.024
Losers -0.018 +0.003 -0.015
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Neil Sandercock 2.864 +0.024 2.888
Andre B 2.722 +0.024 2.746
Shelly Feutrill 2.306 -0.015 2.291
Lucy Moore 2.945 -0.015 2.930
GAME #6
Andre B Lucy Moore
9
----------- vs -----------
1
Shane Virgo David Brown
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.838 2.915
Win probability
33.36%
66.64% of 0.100 = 0.067 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.067 +0.008 +0.075
Losers -0.067 +0.001 -0.066
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Andre B 2.746 +0.075 2.821
Lucy Moore 2.930 +0.075 3.005
Shane Virgo 3.050 -0.066 2.984
David Brown 2.780 -0.066 2.714
GAME #7
Aaron Gilligan David Brown
9
----------- vs -----------
8
Neil Sandercock Lucy Moore
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.676 2.951
Win probability
7.82%
92.18% of 0.100 = 0.092 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.092 +0.001 +0.093
Losers -0.092 +0.008 -0.084
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Aaron Gilligan 2.638 +0.093 2.731
David Brown 2.714 +0.093 2.807
Neil Sandercock 2.896 -0.084 2.812
Lucy Moore 3.005 -0.084 2.921
GAME #8
David Brown Lucy Moore
9
----------- vs -----------
5
Geoff Dyer Alexander Hanysz
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.864 2.638
Win probability
88.45%
11.55% of 0.100 = 0.012 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.012 +0.004 +0.016
Losers -0.012 +0.005 -0.007
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
David Brown 2.807 +0.016 2.823
Lucy Moore 2.921 +0.016 2.937
Geoff Dyer 2.385 -0.007 2.378
Alexander Hanysz 2.890 -0.007 2.883
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