Season 1 - Adelaide Hills League Logo
Game Details For Nat Short
Playdate: 30-04-2025
GAME #1
David Biddle Gemma Elliot
11
----------- vs -----------
6
Lachlan Johnston Nat Short
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.006 3.026
Win probability
45.52%
54.48% of 0.100 = 0.054 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.054 +0.005 +0.059
Losers -0.054 +0.006 -0.048
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
David Biddle 3.051 +0.059 3.110
Gemma Elliot 2.960 +0.059 3.019
Lachlan Johnston 3.051 -0.048 3.003
Nat Short 3.000 -0.048 2.952
GAME #2
John Dollman Lachlan Johnston
11
----------- vs -----------
4
David Biddle Nat Short
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.982 3.031
Win probability
39.06%
60.94% of 0.100 = 0.061 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.061 +0.007 +0.068
Losers -0.061 +0.004 -0.057
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
John Dollman 2.960 +0.068 3.028
Lachlan Johnston 3.003 +0.068 3.071
David Biddle 3.110 -0.057 3.053
Nat Short 2.952 -0.057 2.895
GAME #3
David Biddle John Dollman
11
----------- vs -----------
4
Nat Short Gemma Elliot
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.041 2.957
Win probability
67.93%
32.07% of 0.100 = 0.032 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.032 +0.007 +0.039
Losers -0.032 +0.004 -0.028
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
David Biddle 3.053 +0.039 3.092
John Dollman 3.028 +0.039 3.067
Nat Short 2.895 -0.028 2.867
Gemma Elliot 3.019 -0.028 2.991
GAME #4
Gemma Elliot Lachlan Johnston
11
----------- vs -----------
5
Nat Short John Dollman
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.031 2.967
Win probability
64.00%
36% of 0.100 = 0.036 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.036 +0.006 +0.042
Losers -0.036 +0.005 -0.031
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Gemma Elliot 2.991 +0.042 3.033
Lachlan Johnston 3.071 +0.042 3.113
Nat Short 2.867 -0.031 2.836
John Dollman 3.067 -0.031 3.036
GAME #5
Nat Short Lachlan Johnston
11
----------- vs -----------
6
Gemma Elliot David Biddle
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
2.993 3.068
Win probability
33.76%
66.24% of 0.100 = 0.066 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.066 +0.005 +0.071
Losers -0.066 +0.006 -0.060
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Nat Short 2.836 +0.071 2.907
Lachlan Johnston 3.150 +0.071 3.221
Gemma Elliot 3.007 -0.060 2.947
David Biddle 3.129 -0.060 3.069
GAME #6
John Dollman Lachlan Johnston
11
----------- vs -----------
0
David Biddle Nat Short
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.116 2.988
Win probability
75.88%
24.12% of 0.100 = 0.024 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.024 +0.011 +0.035
Losers -0.024 +0.000 -0.024
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
John Dollman 3.010 +0.035 3.045
Lachlan Johnston 3.221 +0.035 3.256
David Biddle 3.069 -0.024 3.045
Nat Short 2.907 -0.024 2.883
GAME #7
David Biddle John Dollman
11
----------- vs -----------
1
Nat Short Gemma Elliot
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.045 2.915
Win probability
76.28%
23.72% of 0.100 = 0.024 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.024 +0.010 +0.034
Losers -0.024 +0.001 -0.023
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
David Biddle 3.045 +0.034 3.079
John Dollman 3.045 +0.034 3.079
Nat Short 2.883 -0.023 2.860
Gemma Elliot 2.947 -0.023 2.924
GAME #8
Gemma Elliot Lachlan Johnston
11
----------- vs -----------
10
John Dollman Nat Short
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.090 2.970
Win probability
74.71%
25.29% of 0.100 = 0.025 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.025 +0.001 +0.026
Losers -0.025 +0.010 -0.015
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Gemma Elliot 2.924 +0.026 2.950
Lachlan Johnston 3.256 +0.026 3.282
John Dollman 3.079 -0.015 3.064
Nat Short 2.860 -0.015 2.845
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